Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 50.0% vs Hischier 51.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 53.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 55.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 52.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Bailey
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bailey
Hischier
Last 6: Bailey 3-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bailey
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Bailey
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (189)
50.1% (789)
+0.7%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
58.9% (151)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
57.5% (40)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Bailey shoots left. Hischier is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Bailey
Hischier
Home
55.2% (145)
53.7% (445)
Away
43.2% (111)
50.1% (535)
By Period
Bailey
Hischier
P1
42.4%
52.6%
P2
52.2%
49.8%
P3
56.9%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
50.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |