Michael McCarron vs Nico Hischier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Hischier 54.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 67.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 83.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 58.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
McCarron
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McCarron
Hischier
Last 7: McCarron 1-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
McCarron
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
McCarron
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
55.0% (1,107)
-1.9%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
63.1% (252)
-44.9%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
43.6% (149)
+10.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
McCarron
Hischier
Home
52.8% (477)
56.5% (763)
Away
52.8% (411)
54.0% (745)
By Period
McCarron
Hischier
P1
56.5%
56.0%
P2
53.2%
57.6%
P3
49.0%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |