Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Hischier wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.5% vs Patrick 51.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 60.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 54.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Hischier
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Hischier
Patrick
Last 10: Hischier 5-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
9
3
Hischier
Patrick
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
3
8
Hischier
Patrick
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hischier
Patrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (8,159)
50.6% (1,978)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (1,678)
57.5% (120)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (862)
57.7% (26)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Hischier is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,852).
Hischier shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Hischier
Patrick
Home
52.8% (5,223)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
52.2% (5,476)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Hischier
Patrick
P1
52.7%
52.9%
P2
52.2%
49.1%
P3
52.7%
51.3%
OT
50.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |