Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 45.7% vs Patrick 51.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 58.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 56.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 57.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Hischier
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hischier
Patrick
Last 6: Hischier 2-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Hischier
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
2
Hischier
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (879)
50.8% (732)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (68)
57.8% (45)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
50.0% (2)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Hischier is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Hischier shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Hischier
Patrick
Home
42.7% (499)
51.5% (388)
Away
48.0% (467)
50.9% (391)
By Period
Hischier
Patrick
P1
48.2%
53.7%
P2
40.7%
48.2%
P3
46.4%
52.5%
OT
52.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
45.2%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |