Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hischier wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.8% vs Couturier 53.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 56.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 77.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Hischier
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Hischier
Couturier
Last 10: Hischier 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
6
Hischier
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Hischier
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (887)
52.6% (624)
+2.1%
Power Play
66.5% (194)
66.7% (66)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (108)
53.2% (188)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Hischier shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Hischier
Couturier
Home
56.6% (537)
50.7% (424)
Away
54.0% (652)
56.6% (454)
By Period
Hischier
Couturier
P1
55.2%
55.5%
P2
57.2%
51.7%
P3
54.2%
55.2%
OT
31.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |