Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fischer wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fischer 43.4% vs Sturm 59.0% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fischer 69.7%
Defensive zone
Fischer 54.9%
Neutral zone
Fischer 73.8%
Result
Christian Fischer favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Fischer
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fischer
Sturm
Last 5: Fischer 1-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fischer
1
0
Fischer
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
4
Fischer
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fischer
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (201)
60.6% (708)
-20.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.1% (18)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
56.4% (101)
-16.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Fischer is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Fischer shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Fischer
Sturm
Home
44.8% (96)
61.6% (451)
Away
36.9% (122)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Fischer
Sturm
P1
37.3%
55.9%
P2
41.4%
58.9%
P3
43.1%
64.6%
Final 5 min
42.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fischer
34.0%▼
40.0%
40.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Christian Fischer |