Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Sturm 56.1% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Belanger 52.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 58.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Belanger
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
57.1% (2,719)
+0.0%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
61.3% (62)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
51.0% (498)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Belanger
Sturm
Home
56.3% (1,350)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Belanger
Sturm
P1
53.5%
56.5%
P2
55.4%
54.9%
P3
56.2%
57.4%
OT
53.1%
60.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%