Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Parssinen 48.0% vs Sturm 57.1% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parssinen 82.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 51.9%
Neutral zone
Parssinen 68.9%
Result
Juuso Parssinen favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Parssinen
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Parssinen
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Parssinen
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Parssinen
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Parssinen
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Parssinen
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (187)
62.1% (356)
-15.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
75.0% (4)
-19.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Parssinen is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Parssinen shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Parssinen
Sturm
Home
52.3% (88)
61.8% (191)
Away
42.6% (108)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Parssinen
Sturm
P1
43.3%
58.0%
P2
50.9%
57.9%
P3
47.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Parssinen
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.9%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%