Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 50.2% vs Sturm 56.1% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 68.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 66.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.2%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Wallmark
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,852)
57.1% (2,719)
-6.6%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
61.3% (62)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (216)
51.0% (498)
-6.1%
On even strength, Sturm has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Wallmark shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Sturm
Home
50.8% (1,070)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
49.6% (1,101)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Wallmark
Sturm
P1
51.4%
56.5%
P2
50.8%
54.9%
P3
48.7%
57.4%
OT
0.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%