Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khusnutdinov 48.8% vs Sturm 59.0% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Khusnutdinov 66.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Khusnutdinov
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Khusnutdinov
Sturm
Last 6: Khusnutdinov 3-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
2
0
Khusnutdinov
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Khusnutdinov
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Khusnutdinov
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khusnutdinov
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (94)
60.6% (708)
-12.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.1% (18)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
56.4% (101)
+43.6%
On penalty kill, Khusnutdinov has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Khusnutdinov is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Khusnutdinov
Sturm
Home
45.2% (42)
61.6% (451)
Away
49.2% (61)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Khusnutdinov
Sturm
P1
40.6%
55.9%
P2
48.8%
58.9%
P3
53.3%
64.6%
Final 5 min
43.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khusnutdinov
40.0%▬
41.0%
47.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |