Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 73.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.7%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 57.0%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Sturm
Horcoff
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
50.6% (3,133)
+6.5%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
51.4% (555)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
43.0% (567)
+8.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Sturm
Horcoff
Home
57.1% (1,614)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Sturm
Horcoff
P1
56.5%
48.2%
P2
54.9%
49.5%
P3
57.4%
50.9%
OT
60.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%