Scouting Report
Alex Galchenyuk holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Galchenyuk wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 51.9% vs Roy 48.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 62.9%
Defensive zone
Galchenyuk 58.7%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 67.0%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Galchenyuk
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Galchenyuk
Roy
Last 6: Galchenyuk 4-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Galchenyuk
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (393)
49.5% (746)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
50.7% (75)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.7% (110)
+57.3%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Galchenyuk is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Roy
Home
48.9% (219)
47.7% (491)
Away
56.3% (190)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Roy
P1
48.8%
51.1%
P2
53.4%
44.6%
P3
54.9%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |