Scouting Report
Jake Leschyshyn holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Leschyshyn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Leschyshyn wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leschyshyn 50.5% vs Roy 48.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leschyshyn 69.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.9%
Neutral zone
Leschyshyn 58.0%
Result
Jake Leschyshyn favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Leschyshyn
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Leschyshyn
Roy
Last 5: Leschyshyn 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leschyshyn
2
0
Leschyshyn
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leschyshyn
2
1
Leschyshyn
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leschyshyn
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (225)
48.3% (633)
+1.0%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
52.1% (48)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
43.7% (87)
+56.3%
On penalty kill, Leschyshyn has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Leschyshyn is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Leschyshyn shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Leschyshyn
Roy
Home
55.0% (129)
50.8% (376)
Away
45.2% (104)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Leschyshyn
Roy
P1
50.0%
53.8%
P2
50.6%
43.5%
P3
51.4%
46.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leschyshyn
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:02 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jake Leschyshyn |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Leschyshyn |