Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Roy 47.2% (+18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 87.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 90.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 84.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 87.4%
12.6%
87.4%
McLeod
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McLeod
Roy
Last 7: McLeod 1-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
McLeod
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
McLeod
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
47.5% (617)
+17.3%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
39.6% (53)
+28.8%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
46.4% (97)
+18.9%
On power play, McLeod has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
McLeod shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
McLeod
Roy
Home
64.3% (308)
47.2% (398)
Away
65.7% (344)
46.3% (369)
By Period
McLeod
Roy
P1
62.9%
48.6%
P2
64.8%
48.8%
P3
67.9%
43.9%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |