Scouting Report
Nik Antropov holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cogliano on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Antropov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Antropov 48.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 79.2%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 52.7%
Neutral zone
Antropov 59.2%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Cogliano
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cogliano
Antropov
Last 5: Cogliano 3-2 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
Antropov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
2
1
Cogliano
Antropov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
48.4% (461)
-6.8%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
50.8% (65)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
75.0% (4)
-34.1%
On penalty kill, Antropov has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Cogliano is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cogliano shoots left. Antropov is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Antropov
Home
43.7% (572)
53.1% (271)
Away
39.4% (536)
44.1% (263)
By Period
Cogliano
Antropov
P1
39.2%
40.6%
P2
37.4%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
54.5%
OT
38.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |