Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Antropov wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Antropov 44.3% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 85.2%
Defensive zone
Antropov 87.2%
Neutral zone
Antropov 90.9%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Antropov
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Antropov
Bergeron
Last 7: Antropov 1-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Antropov
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Antropov
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Antropov
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Antropov
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (486)
61.6% (1,186)
-17.8%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
52.2% (201)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (70)
54.6% (240)
-16.0%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Antropov is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Antropov shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Antropov
Bergeron
Home
45.5% (323)
61.7% (828)
Away
41.3% (329)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Antropov
Bergeron
P1
45.0%
58.5%
P2
45.5%
61.8%
P3
40.5%
57.8%
OT
22.2%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
43.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |