Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Antropov wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Antropov 44.1% vs Stamkos 49.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Antropov 69.7%
Defensive zone
Antropov 63.8%
Neutral zone
Antropov 69.5%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Antropov
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Antropov
Stamkos
Last 7: Antropov 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Antropov
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Antropov
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Antropov
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Antropov
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (262)
48.1% (669)
-3.4%
Power Play
28.2% (39)
58.2% (110)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
50.0% (40)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Antropov is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Antropov shoots left. Stamkos is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Antropov
Stamkos
Home
42.7% (110)
52.0% (402)
Away
41.8% (194)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Antropov
Stamkos
P1
41.7%
46.3%
P2
45.1%
52.4%
P3
39.4%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
42.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |