Scouting Report
Casey Wellman holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wellman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wellman wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kulemin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wellman 50.8% vs Kulemin 42.3% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wellman 84.5%
Defensive zone
Wellman 79.1%
Neutral zone
Wellman 84.7%
Result
Casey Wellman favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Wellman
Kulemin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wellman
Kulemin
Last 5: Wellman 4-1 Kulemin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wellman
3
0
Wellman
Kulemin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wellman
Kulemin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wellman
Kulemin
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (97)
37.5% (96)
+14.0%
On even strength, Wellman has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kulemin shoots left. Wellman is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Wellman shoots right. Kulemin is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Wellman
Kulemin
Home
61.4% (44)
36.6% (41)
Away
43.4% (53)
34.3% (67)
By Period
Wellman
Kulemin
P1
57.1%
30.8%
P2
32.3%
33.3%
P3
66.7%
38.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wellman
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Kulemin
42.0%▲
38.5%
35.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Casey Wellman |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Casey Wellman |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Casey Wellman |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Nikolay Kulemin |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Casey Wellman |