Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Aman 40.2% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 97.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 79.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 94.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Pavelski
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pavelski
Aman
Last 6: Pavelski 5-1 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Aman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Aman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Aman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
39.0% (439)
+13.3%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
42.9% (7)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
25.0% (28)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Aman is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Aman
Home
54.2% (360)
39.8% (259)
Away
52.6% (329)
36.3% (215)
By Period
Pavelski
Aman
P1
54.5%
38.9%
P2
56.7%
41.7%
P3
50.8%
33.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |