Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +23.8% FO% edge overall. Gregor wins 24.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gregor 41.4% vs Steel 52.3% (-23.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gregor 51.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 59.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.3%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Gregor
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gregor
Steel
Last 5: Gregor 2-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Gregor
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gregor
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gregor
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
30.3% (66)
51.6% (401)
-21.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
66.7% (39)
-66.7%
On power play, Steel has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Gregor is 24.5% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Gregor shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Gregor
Steel
Home
30.3% (33)
55.8% (206)
Away
27.8% (36)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Gregor
Steel
P1
11.1%
57.0%
P2
27.3%
50.7%
P3
52.9%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
29.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Noah Gregor |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Noah Gregor |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | OT | 00:30 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Sam Steel |