Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Laba on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Laba 50.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laba 62.7%
Defensive zone
Laba 89.1%
Neutral zone
Laba 79.7%
Result
Noah Laba favored at 84.4%
15.6%
84.4%
Tavares
Laba
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tavares
Laba
Last 8: Tavares 2-6 Laba
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laba
0
4
Tavares
Laba
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Laba
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Laba
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
50.8% (510)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
47.6% (21)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
55.9% (34)
+2.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laba shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Laba is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Tavares
Laba
Home
57.8% (614)
50.6% (261)
Away
57.8% (554)
51.3% (304)
By Period
Tavares
Laba
P1
58.0%
55.1%
P2
56.9%
46.0%
P3
58.4%
51.8%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Laba
44.0%▼
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Noah Laba |