Scouting Report
Michael Frolik holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Frolik wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ostlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frolik 44.0% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+10.8%)
Offensive zone
Frolik 51.1%
Defensive zone
Frolik 51.3%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 54.5%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Frolik
Ostlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frolik
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (409)
32.5% (283)
+13.5%
Power Play
25.0% (36)
11.1% (9)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (51)
33.3% (3)
-3.9%
On power play, Frolik has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Frolik is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Frolik shoots left. Ostlund is 30.1% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Frolik
Ostlund
Home
45.8% (253)
37.0% (154)
Away
39.5% (243)
26.2% (141)
By Period
Frolik
Ostlund
P1
44.8%
34.6%
P2
41.5%
32.0%
P3
41.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
41.1%
23.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%