Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.4%). Philp wins 65.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Philp 48.9% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Philp 62.3%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 60.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 55.2%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Philp
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Philp
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (204)
49.6% (2,027)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
43.9% (467)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Philp is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Philp shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Philp
Carpenter
Home
52.6% (97)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
45.3% (128)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Philp
Carpenter
P1
50.8%
49.6%
P2
48.9%
47.7%
P3
45.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%