Scouting Report
Noah Philp holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Philp wins 67.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Philp 53.4% vs Johnston 48.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 53.6%
Defensive zone
Philp 74.9%
Neutral zone
Philp 60.7%
Result
Noah Philp favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Philp
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Philp
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Philp
1
0
Philp
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Philp
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (109)
47.8% (623)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
51.4% (35)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Philp is 67.9% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Philp shoots right. Johnston is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Philp
Johnston
Home
69.8% (43)
47.6% (351)
Away
48.8% (80)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Philp
Johnston
P1
56.8%
49.6%
P2
57.1%
47.3%
P3
54.1%
48.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Noah Philp |