Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Wallmark wins 37.1% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 44.7% vs Acciari 52.0% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Wallmark 83.1%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 52.4%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 63.5%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Wallmark
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Wallmark
Acciari
Last 10: Wallmark 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
1
Wallmark
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
5
Wallmark
Acciari
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Wallmark
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (142)
53.1% (375)
-12.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
51.5% (33)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
50.5% (111)
-14.8%
On power play, Wallmark has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Wallmark is 37.1% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Wallmark shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Acciari
Home
45.8% (48)
49.4% (243)
Away
39.5% (114)
55.1% (276)
By Period
Wallmark
Acciari
P1
35.8%
50.9%
P2
43.9%
54.7%
P3
44.2%
51.7%
Final 5 min
40.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |