Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.0%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 16-16 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 91.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 83.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 50.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Acciari
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
16
(32 meetings)
16
16
Acciari
Stamkos
Last 10: Acciari 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
9
Acciari
Stamkos
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
12
2
Acciari
Stamkos
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
5
Acciari
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
50.4% (9,799)
+2.4%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
55.1% (1,725)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
49.7% (825)
-2.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Acciari shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Acciari
Stamkos
Home
52.0% (2,115)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Acciari
Stamkos
P1
52.2%
49.1%
P2
51.5%
52.7%
P3
50.5%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |