Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Acciari wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 95.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 60.9%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 74.5%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Acciari
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Acciari
Trocheck
Last 6: Acciari 4-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Acciari
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
1
Acciari
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (279)
57.7% (608)
-4.3%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
64.0% (150)
-32.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (178)
44.1% (136)
+6.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Acciari is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Acciari shoots right. Trocheck is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Acciari
Trocheck
Home
53.5% (256)
54.4% (366)
Away
49.3% (217)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Acciari
Trocheck
P1
53.1%
56.0%
P2
51.2%
58.6%
P3
51.0%
55.3%
OT
40.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.6%
Trocheck
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | OT | 04:56 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |