Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.6%). Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Patrick 52.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 56.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 67.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Cizikas
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cizikas
Patrick
Last 7: Cizikas 5-2 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Cizikas
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (488)
51.2% (371)
+4.5%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
62.2% (37)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (132)
59.1% (22)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Cizikas is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Cizikas shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Patrick
Home
54.3% (313)
48.5% (231)
Away
52.1% (326)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Cizikas
Patrick
P1
55.9%
52.0%
P2
54.6%
52.3%
P3
48.7%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.2%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |