Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.0%). Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Patrick 51.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 56.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 93.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 75.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Cizikas
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
10
(29 meetings)
19
10
Cizikas
Patrick
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
4
Cizikas
Patrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
6
0
Cizikas
Patrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
11
6
Cizikas
Patrick
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
50.6% (1,978)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
57.5% (120)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
57.7% (26)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Cizikas is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,864).
Cizikas shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Patrick
Home
53.7% (5,498)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Cizikas
Patrick
P1
53.0%
52.9%
P2
51.1%
49.1%
P3
51.7%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |