Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.0% vs Patrick 50.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 70.2%
Defensive zone
Patrick 69.6%
Neutral zone
Patrick 70.9%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Lindholm
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lindholm
Patrick
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
5
Lindholm
Patrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (598)
50.6% (719)
+2.4%
Power Play
62.2% (111)
50.0% (22)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (84)
50.0% (2)
+4.8%
On power play, Lindholm has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Lindholm is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Lindholm shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Patrick
Home
58.6% (403)
50.1% (391)
Away
50.3% (390)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Lindholm
Patrick
P1
59.2%
54.4%
P2
54.2%
49.3%
P3
50.0%
47.5%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |