Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 49.8% vs Patrick 52.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 55.0%
Defensive zone
Patrick 77.2%
Neutral zone
Patrick 69.4%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Eichel
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eichel
Patrick
Last 5: Eichel 4-1 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
Patrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (304)
51.2% (371)
-3.2%
Power Play
57.0% (86)
62.2% (37)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
59.1% (22)
-59.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Eichel is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Eichel shoots right. Patrick is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Eichel
Patrick
Home
52.1% (169)
48.5% (231)
Away
48.0% (223)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Eichel
Patrick
P1
44.7%
52.0%
P2
52.6%
52.3%
P3
51.8%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
49.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |