Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 45.5% vs Patrick 50.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 88.1%
Defensive zone
Patrick 56.1%
Neutral zone
Patrick 72.9%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Josefson
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Josefson
Patrick
Last 5: Josefson 4-1 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
1
Josefson
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (272)
50.6% (719)
-5.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (22)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
50.0% (2)
-15.1%
On power play, Josefson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Josefson is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Josefson shoots left. Patrick is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Josefson
Patrick
Home
43.5% (168)
50.1% (391)
Away
44.7% (152)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Josefson
Patrick
P1
42.1%
54.4%
P2
46.0%
49.3%
P3
44.0%
47.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |