Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nolan Patrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Patrick 51.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 85.5%
Defensive zone
Patrick 61.3%
Neutral zone
Patrick 76.2%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Pageau
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Pageau
Patrick
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
6
Pageau
Patrick
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
3
4
Pageau
Patrick
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
4
5
Pageau
Patrick
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
50.6% (1,978)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
57.5% (120)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
57.7% (26)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Pageau shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Pageau
Patrick
Home
56.3% (6,214)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Pageau
Patrick
P1
54.6%
52.9%
P2
56.3%
49.1%
P3
53.5%
51.3%
OT
54.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |