Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rooney wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.9% vs Patrick 52.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Rooney leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 89.4%
Defensive zone
Patrick 56.5%
Neutral zone
Patrick 63.7%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Rooney
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Rooney
Patrick
Last 10: Rooney 6-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
4
2
Rooney
Patrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
5
1
Rooney
Patrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
3
Rooney
Patrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (378)
51.2% (371)
-4.4%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
62.2% (37)
-28.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (48)
59.1% (22)
-25.8%
On power play, Patrick has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Rooney is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Rooney shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Rooney
Patrick
Home
48.0% (221)
48.5% (231)
Away
41.9% (217)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Rooney
Patrick
P1
50.0%
52.0%
P2
48.5%
52.3%
P3
34.9%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
45.0%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 18, 2021 | OT | 01:32 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |