Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 50.5% vs Patrick 51.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 75.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 50.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 61.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Draisaitl
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Draisaitl
Patrick
Last 5: Draisaitl 4-1 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Patrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (931)
50.8% (732)
+0.7%
Power Play
48.2% (282)
57.8% (45)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (127)
50.0% (2)
-1.2%
On power play, Patrick has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Draisaitl is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Draisaitl shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Patrick
Home
51.3% (637)
51.5% (388)
Away
49.8% (703)
50.9% (391)
By Period
Draisaitl
Patrick
P1
50.3%
53.7%
P2
47.4%
48.2%
P3
53.2%
52.5%
OT
57.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
50.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |