Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.6%). Zibanejad wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.8% vs Patrick 50.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 60.5%
Defensive zone
Patrick 60.0%
Neutral zone
Patrick 60.5%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Zibanejad
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Zibanejad
Patrick
Last 6: Zibanejad 0-6 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Zibanejad
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Zibanejad
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Zibanejad
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (938)
50.6% (719)
+2.1%
Power Play
49.3% (225)
50.0% (22)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (124)
50.0% (2)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Zibanejad is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Zibanejad shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Patrick
Home
54.9% (594)
50.1% (391)
Away
47.3% (693)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Zibanejad
Patrick
P1
50.1%
54.4%
P2
49.0%
49.3%
P3
53.0%
47.5%
OT
52.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |