Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Maltsev on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Maltsev wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Maltsev 47.7% vs Patrick 52.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 63.2%
Defensive zone
Patrick 62.1%
Neutral zone
Patrick 60.4%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Maltsev
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Maltsev
Patrick
Last 7: Maltsev 4-3 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Maltsev
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Maltsev
3
0
Maltsev
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Maltsev
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Maltsev
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
51.2% (371)
-5.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.2% (37)
+37.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
59.1% (22)
-59.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Maltsev is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Maltsev shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Maltsev
Patrick
Home
46.2% (91)
48.5% (231)
Away
46.4% (69)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Maltsev
Patrick
P1
40.4%
52.0%
P2
56.4%
52.3%
P3
41.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mikhail Maltsev |