Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 43.6% vs Patrick 50.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 64.0%
Defensive zone
Patrick 67.7%
Neutral zone
Patrick 72.4%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Hischier
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hischier
Patrick
Last 9: Hischier 6-3 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
1
Hischier
Patrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Hischier
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (912)
50.6% (719)
-8.2%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
50.0% (22)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
50.0% (2)
-3.6%
On even strength, Patrick has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Hischier is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Hischier shoots left. Patrick is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Hischier
Patrick
Home
44.6% (507)
50.1% (391)
Away
41.2% (476)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Hischier
Patrick
P1
47.6%
54.4%
P2
39.9%
49.3%
P3
41.3%
47.5%
OT
38.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
34.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
42.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |