Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Zacha 49.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 59.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 56.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Patrick
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
19
(35 meetings)
16
19
Patrick
Zacha
Last 10: Patrick 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
4
3
Patrick
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
11
Patrick
Zacha
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
7
5
Patrick
Zacha
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
48.9% (5,102)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
55.6% (804)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
42.2% (555)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Patrick shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Patrick
Zacha
Home
49.7% (1,106)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Patrick
Zacha
P1
52.9%
49.9%
P2
49.1%
49.2%
P3
51.3%
48.1%
OT
40.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |