Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.1% vs Zacha 49.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 61.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 62.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Patrick
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Patrick
Zacha
Last 10: Patrick 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Patrick
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Patrick
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Patrick
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (732)
47.8% (619)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.8% (45)
58.6% (29)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
54.7% (64)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Patrick shoots right. Zacha is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (213).
Home / Away
Patrick
Zacha
Home
51.5% (388)
50.8% (394)
Away
50.9% (391)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Patrick
Zacha
P1
53.7%
48.5%
P2
48.2%
51.2%
P3
52.5%
47.6%
OT
25.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |