Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 52.1% vs Zacha 51.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 59.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 54.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.4%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Patrick
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Patrick
Zacha
Last 9: Patrick 5-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
1
Patrick
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Patrick
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Patrick
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (371)
53.3% (411)
-2.1%
Power Play
62.2% (37)
51.8% (114)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
42.0% (81)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Patrick shoots right. Zacha is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Patrick
Zacha
Home
48.5% (231)
52.2% (295)
Away
57.3% (199)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Patrick
Zacha
P1
52.0%
50.5%
P2
52.3%
51.3%
P3
53.2%
52.0%
OT
66.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |