Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 52.1% vs Sheahan 50.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 70.8%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 76.5%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 54.7%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Patrick
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Patrick
Sheahan
Last 7: Patrick 0-7 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Patrick
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
4
Patrick
Sheahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Patrick
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (371)
52.8% (381)
-1.6%
Power Play
62.2% (37)
100.0% (7)
-37.8%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
41.7% (115)
+17.4%
On power play, Sheahan has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Patrick shoots right. Sheahan is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Patrick
Sheahan
Home
48.5% (231)
51.7% (300)
Away
57.3% (199)
49.8% (203)
By Period
Patrick
Sheahan
P1
52.0%
56.7%
P2
52.3%
52.3%
P3
53.2%
45.7%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |