Nolan Patrick vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Patrick 3-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
44.9% (8,714)
+5.7%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
50.3% (829)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
37.8% (875)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Patrick shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).
Home / Away
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.7% (1,106)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.9%
45.1%
P2
49.1%
43.8%
P3
51.3%
45.2%
OT
40.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |