Nolan Patrick vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Patrick 3-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (732)
46.5% (690)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.8% (45)
41.7% (12)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
38.4% (138)
+11.6%
On power play, Patrick has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Patrick shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.5% (388)
47.7% (405)
Away
50.9% (391)
42.8% (435)
By Period
Patrick
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.7%
49.4%
P2
48.2%
43.0%
P3
52.5%
43.7%
OT
25.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |