Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Patrick wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Strome 44.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 68.8%
Defensive zone
Patrick 77.0%
Neutral zone
Patrick 77.0%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Patrick
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Patrick
Strome
Last 10: Patrick 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Patrick
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
5
1
Patrick
Strome
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
1
Patrick
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
44.1% (6,839)
+6.5%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
49.3% (854)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
41.5% (410)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Patrick shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Patrick
Strome
Home
49.7% (1,106)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Patrick
Strome
P1
52.9%
44.0%
P2
49.1%
45.3%
P3
51.3%
44.3%
OT
40.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |