Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Patrick wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 52.1% vs Strome 44.0% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 81.8%
Defensive zone
Patrick 73.7%
Neutral zone
Patrick 80.2%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Patrick
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Patrick
Strome
Last 10: Patrick 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Patrick
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
5
1
Patrick
Strome
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Patrick
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (371)
41.9% (626)
+9.3%
Power Play
62.2% (37)
50.0% (76)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
51.2% (41)
+7.9%
On power play, Patrick has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Patrick is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Patrick shoots right. Strome is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Patrick
Strome
Home
48.5% (231)
40.8% (363)
Away
57.3% (199)
45.5% (380)
By Period
Patrick
Strome
P1
52.0%
43.0%
P2
52.3%
41.3%
P3
53.2%
45.9%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |