Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ebbett on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 46.8% vs Jokinen 47.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 73.0%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 52.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 55.3%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Ebbett
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ebbett
Jokinen
Last 6: Ebbett 5-1 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ebbett
3
1
Ebbett
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ebbett
1
0
Ebbett
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (211)
46.4% (924)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
48.4% (31)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Ebbett is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Ebbett shoots left. Jokinen is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Jokinen
Home
49.2% (128)
47.1% (537)
Away
40.6% (101)
47.6% (628)
By Period
Ebbett
Jokinen
P1
49.3%
45.3%
P2
44.0%
49.9%
P3
42.5%
46.5%
OT
66.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.4%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |