Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.6%). Look for Hodgson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 47.1% vs Jokinen 47.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 63.7%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 59.9%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 50.4%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Hodgson
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hodgson
Jokinen
Last 5: Hodgson 4-1 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
0
Hodgson
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hodgson
Jokinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (622)
46.8% (566)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.5% (101)
53.4% (58)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
80.0% (5)
-39.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Hodgson is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Hodgson shoots right. Jokinen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Jokinen
Home
49.5% (382)
49.5% (319)
Away
44.4% (430)
45.7% (311)
By Period
Hodgson
Jokinen
P1
48.5%
49.1%
P2
48.9%
47.9%
P3
42.5%
46.4%
OT
53.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |