Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.7% vs Jokinen 46.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 72.0%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 67.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 69.7%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
MacKenzie
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKenzie
Jokinen
Last 6: MacKenzie 2-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
MacKenzie
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
MacKenzie
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (370)
46.8% (1,017)
+8.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
47.6% (185)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
40.7% (113)
+8.3%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (293).
MacKenzie shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Jokinen
Home
56.1% (228)
47.1% (652)
Away
52.7% (201)
46.0% (681)
By Period
MacKenzie
Jokinen
P1
53.4%
43.8%
P2
55.1%
49.5%
P3
53.9%
44.6%
OT
100.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |