Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 47.4%). Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Brassard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 47.0% vs Jokinen 47.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 51.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 59.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Brassard
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Brassard
Jokinen
Last 9: Brassard 7-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
2
Brassard
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
0
Brassard
Jokinen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (739)
46.4% (924)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
51.3% (197)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
48.4% (31)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Brassard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Brassard shoots left. Jokinen is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Brassard
Jokinen
Home
47.9% (447)
47.1% (537)
Away
45.4% (441)
47.6% (628)
By Period
Brassard
Jokinen
P1
48.7%
45.3%
P2
44.3%
49.9%
P3
47.2%
46.5%
OT
36.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |